Robust capacity expansion solutions for telecommunication networks with uncertain demands

We consider the capacity planning of telecommunication networks with linear investment costs and uncertain future traffic demands. Transmission capacities must be large enough to meet, with a high quality of service, the range of possible demands, after adequate routings of messages on the created network. We use the robust optimization methodology to balance the need for a given quality of service with the cost of investment. Our model assumes that the traffic for each individual demand fluctuates in an interval around a nominal value. We use a refined version of affine decision rules based on a concept of demand proximity to model the routings as affine functions of the demand realizations. We then give a probabilistic analysis assuming the random variables follow a triangular distribution. Finally, we perform numerical experiments on network instances from SNDlib and measure the quality of the solutions by simulation.

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