Distributionally Robust Chance-Constrained Optimal Load Shedding Model for Active Distribution Networks Based on KDE

With the high penetration of distributed energy resources in active distribution networks(ADNs), forecast errors from renewables and loads pose significant risks of bilateral violations, including overvoltage/undervoltage and line overloads. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a KDE-DRCCO model that integrates kernel density estimation (KDE) with distributionally robust chance-constrained optimization (DRCCO). Leveraging the radial topology of ADNs, a linearized Distflow model is adopted to establish a linear dependency between decision variables and uncertainties. A data-driven KDE method is employed to capture the forecast error distributions, which enables an exact convex reformulation of the bilateral chance constraints on voltages and line flows using conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) approximation and duality theory. Compared with traditional moment-based ambiguity set approaches, the proposed model significantly reduces the economic loss caused by over-conservatism, achieving a better balance between operational economy and reliability. Simulations on modified IEEE 33-bus and modified IEEE 123-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed model effectively reduces total operating costs while ensuring system security and robustness.

Article

Download

View PDF