robust risk scores

Learning Risk Scores Robust to Unobserved Confounders

Categories Robust Optimization Tags , ,

We consider the problem of learning risk scores to prioritize individuals for scarce resources or interventions, from historical observational data affected by unobserved confounding. In settings such as public health and homelessness prevention, decisions about who receives a scarce resource (e.g., a hospital bed or housing) are often guided by a risk score assigned to … Read more

Robust risk adjustment in health insurance

Categories Applications - OR and Management Sciences, Robust Optimization Tags , ,

Risk adjustment is used to calibrate payments to health plans based on the relative health status of insured populations and helps keep the health insurance market competitive. Current risk adjustment models use parameter estimates obtained via regression and are thus subject to estimation error. This paper discusses the impact of parameter uncertainty on risk scoring, … Read more