Time Consistency Decisions and Temporal Decomposition of Coherent Risk Functionals

It is well known that most risk measures (risk functionals) are time inconsistent in the following sense: It may happen that today some loss distribution appears to be less risky than another, but looking at the conditional distribution at a later time, the opposite relation holds. In this article we demonstrate that this time inconsistency … Read more

Scenario Trees – A Process Distance Approach

The approximation of stochastic processes by trees is an important topic in multistage stochastic programming. In this paper we focus on improving the approximation of large trees by smaller (tractable) trees. The quality of the approximation is measured by the nested distance, recently introduced in [Pflug]. The nested distance is derived from the Wasserstein distance. … Read more

Time-inconsistent multistage stochastic programs: martingale bounds

Abstract. It is well known that multistage programs, which maximize expectation or expected utility, allow a dynamic programming formulation, and that other objectives destroy the dynamic programming character of the problem. This paper considers a risk measure at the final stage of a multistage stochastic program. Although these problems are not time consistent, it is … Read more

On the Geometry of Acceptability Functionals

Abstract In this paper we discuss continuity properties of acceptability functionals or risk measures. The dependence of the random variable is investigated first. The main contribution and focus of this paper is to study how acceptability functionals vary whenever the underlying probability measure is perturbed. Abstract It turns out that the Wasserstein distance provides a … Read more