Robust Efficient Frontier Analysis with a Separable Uncertainty Model

Mean-variance (MV) analysis is often sensitive to model mis-specification or uncertainty, meaning that the MV efficient portfolios constructed with an estimate of the model parameters (i.e., the expected return vector and covariance of asset returns) can give very poor performance for another set of parameters that is similar and statistically hard to distinguish from the … Read more

A Minimax Theorem with Applications to Machine Learning, Signal Processing, and Finance

This paper concerns a fractional function of the form $x^Ta/\sqrt{x^TBx}$, where $B$ is positive definite. We consider the game of choosing $x$ from a convex set, to maximize the function, and choosing $(a,B)$ from a convex set, to minimize it. We prove the existence of a saddle point and describe an efficient method, based on … Read more

l_1 Trend Filtering

The problem of estimating underlying trends in time series data arises in a variety of disciplines. In this paper we propose a variation on Hodrick-Prescott (H-P) filtering, a widely used method for trend estimation. The proposed l_1 trend filtering method substitutes a sum of absolute values (i.e., l_1-norm) for the sum of squares used in … Read more