Conditional Distributionally Robust Functionals

Risk measures incorporate a conservative or risk averse perspective in decisionmaking under uncertainty. Taking a variety of models for the potential outcomes into account, the distributionally robust decision is the most conservative decision among the decisions available. This paper investigates different versions of conditional risk measures and distributionally robust functionals in a multistage setting. The … Read more

Distributionally Robust Modeling of Optimal Control

The aim of this paper is to formulate several questions related to distributionally robust Stochastic Optimal Control modeling. As an example, the distributionally robust counterpart of the classical inventory model is discussed in details. Finite and infinite horizon stationary settings are considered. ArticleDownload View PDF

Distributionally Robust Optimal Control and MDP Modeling

In this paper, we discuss Optimal Control and Markov Decision Process (MDP) formulations of multistage optimization problems when the involved probability distributions are not known exactly, but rather are assumed to belong to specified ambiguity families. The aim of this paper is to clarify a connection between such distributionally robust approaches to multistage stochastic optimization. … Read more

Rectangular sets of probability measures

In this paper we consider the notion of rectangularity of a set of probability measures, introduced in Epstein and Schneider (2003), from a somewhat different point of view. We define rectangularity as a property of dynamic decomposition of a distributionally robust stochastic optimization problem and show how it relates to the modern theory of coherent … Read more

Time (in)consistency of multistage distributionally robust inventory models with moment constraints

Recently, there has been a growing interest in developing inventory control policies which are robust to model misspecification. One approach is to posit that nature selects a worst-case distribution for any relevant stochastic primitives from some pre-specified family. Several communities have observed that a subtle phenomena known as time inconsistency can arise in this framework. … Read more