Asset liability management under sequential stochastic dominance constraints
Article Download View Asset liability management under sequential stochastic dominance constraints
time consistency
Data-driven Multistage Distributionally Robust Optimization with Nested Distance
We study multistage distributionally robust linear optimization, where the uncertainty set is a ball of distributions defined through the nested distance (Pflug and Pichler 2012) centered at a scenario tree. This choice of uncertainty set, as opposed to alternatives like the Wasserstein distance between stochastic processes, takes account of information evolution, making it hedge against … Read more
Assessing the Cost of the Hazard-Decision Simplification in Multistage Stochastic Hydrothermal Scheduling
Hydropower is one of the world’s primary renewable energy sources whose usage has profound economic, environmental, and social impacts. We focus on the dispatch of generating units and the storage policy of hydro resources. In this context, an accurate assessment of the water opportunity-cost is cru- cial for driving the sustainable use of this scarce … Read more
Risk averse stochastic programming: time consistency and optimal stopping
Bellman formulated a vague principle for optimization over time, which characterizes optimal policies by stating that a decision maker should not regret previous decisions retrospectively. This paper addresses time consistency in stochastic optimization. The problem is stated in generality first. The paper discusses time consistent decision-making by addressing risk measures which are recursive, nested, dynamically … Read more
Tutorial on risk neutral, distributionally robust and risk averse multistage stochastic programming
In this tutorial we discuss several aspects of modeling and solving multistage stochastic programming problems. In particular we discuss distributionally robust and risk averse approaches to multistage stochastic programming, and the involved concept of time consistency. This tutorial is aimed at presenting a certain point of view of multistage stochastic programming, and can be viewed … Read more
Time inconsistency of optimal policies of distributionally robust inventory models
In this paper, we investigate optimal policies of distributionally robust (risk averse) inventory models. We demonstrate that if the respective risk measures are not strictly monotone, then there may exist infinitely many optimal policies which are not base-stock and not time consistent. This is in a sharp contrast with the risk neutral formulation of the … Read more
Interchangeability principle and dynamic equations in risk averse stochastic programming
In this paper we consider interchangeability of the minimization operator with monotone risk functionals. In particular we discuss the role of strict monotonicity of the risk functionals. We also discuss implications to solutions of dynamic programming equations of risk averse multistage stochastic programming problems. Article Download View Interchangeability principle and dynamic equations in risk averse … Read more
Time and Dynamic Consistency of Risk Averse Stochastic Programs
In various settings time consistency in dynamic programming has been addressed by many authors going all the way back to original developments by Richard Bellman. The basic idea of the involved dynamic principle is that a policy designed at the first stage, before observing realizations of the random data, should not be changed at the … Read more
Decomposability and time consistency of risk averse multistage programs
Two approaches to time consistency of risk averse multistage stochastic problems were dis- cussed in the recent literature. In one approach certain properties of the corresponding risk measure are postulated which imply its decomposability. The other approach deals directly with conditional optimality of solutions of the considered problem. The aim of this paper is to … Read more
Rectangular sets of probability measures
In this paper we consider the notion of rectangularity of a set of probability measures, introduced in Epstein and Schneider (2003), from a somewhat different point of view. We define rectangularity as a property of dynamic decomposition of a distributionally robust stochastic optimization problem and show how it relates to the modern theory of coherent … Read more