On the Impact of Deep Learning-based Time-series Forecasts on Multistage Stochastic Programming Policies

Multistage stochastic programming provides a modeling framework for sequential decision-making problems that involve uncertainty. One typically overlooked aspect of this methodology is how uncertainty is incorporated into modeling. Traditionally, statistical forecasting techniques with simple forms, e.g., (first-order) autoregressive time-series models, are used to extract scenarios to be added to optimization models to represent the uncertain … Read more

A Fully Stochastic Second-Order Trust Region Method

A stochastic second-order trust region method is proposed, which can be viewed as a second-order extension of the trust-region-ish (TRish) algorithm proposed by Curtis et al. [INFORMS J. Optim. 1(3) 200–220, 2019]. In each iteration, a search direction is computed by (approximately) solving a trust region subproblem defined by stochastic gradient and Hessian estimates. The … Read more