Mitigating Choice Model Ambiguity: A General Framework and its Application to Assortment Optimization

In several application domains, discrete choice models have become a popular tool to accurately predict complex choice behavior within the classical predict-then-optimize paradigm. Due to a variety of possible error sources, however, estimated choice models may be subject to ambiguity, which may induce different optimal decisions of highly varying quality. While previous studies focused on … Read more

Practicable Robust Stochastic Optimization under Divergence Measures

We seek to provide practicable approximations of the two-stage robust stochastic optimization (RSO) model when its ambiguity set is constructed with an f-divergence radius. These models are known to be numerically challenging to various degrees, depending on the choice of the f-divergence function. The numerical challenges are even more pronounced under mixed-integer rst-stage decisions. In … Read more

Reducing conservatism in Robust Optimization

Although Robust Optimization is a powerful technique in dealing with uncertainty in optimization, its solutions can be too conservative when it leads to an objective value much worse than the nominal solution or even to infeasibility of the robust problem. In practice, this can lead to robust solutions being disregarded in favor of the nominal … Read more

Ambiguous Risk Constraints with Moment and Unimodality Information

Optimization problems face random constraint violations when uncertainty arises in constraint parameters. Effective ways of controlling such violations include risk constraints, e.g., chance constraints and conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) constraints. This paper studies these two types of risk constraints when the probability distribution of the uncertain parameters is ambiguous. In particular, we assume that the distributional … Read more

Ambiguous Joint Chance Constraints under Mean and Dispersion Information

We study joint chance constraints where the distribution of the uncertain parameters is only known to belong to an ambiguity set characterized by the mean and support of the uncertainties and by an upper bound on their dispersion. This setting gives rise to pessimistic (optimistic) ambiguous chance constraints, which require the corresponding classical chance constraints … Read more

Robust optimization with ambiguous stochastic constraints under mean and dispersion information

In this paper we consider ambiguous stochastic constraints under partial information consisting of means and dispersion measures of the underlying random parameters. Whereas the past literature used the variance as the dispersion measure, here we use the mean absolute deviation from the mean (MAD). This makes it possible to use the old result of Ben-Tal … Read more

Ambiguous Probabilistic Programs

Probabilistic programs are widely used decision models. When implemented in practice, however, there often exists distributional ambiguity in these models. In this paper, we model the ambiguity using the likelihood ratio (LR) and use LR to construct various ambiguity sets. We consider ambiguous probabilistic programs which optimize under the worst case. Ambiguous probabilistic programs can … Read more

A practicable framework for distributionally robust linear optimization

We developed a modular framework to obtain exact and approximate solutions to a class of linear optimization problems with recourse with the goal to minimize the worst-case expected objective over an ambiguity set of distributions. The ambiguity set is specified by linear and conic quadratic representable expectation constraints and the support set is also linear … Read more

Preferences for Travel Time under Risk and Ambiguity: Implications in Path Selection and Network Equilibrium

In this paper, we study the preferences for uncertain travel time in which the probability distribution may not be fully characterized. In evaluating an uncertain travel time, we explicitly distinguish between risk, where probability distribution is precisely known, and ambiguity, where it is not. In particular, we propose a new criterion called ambiguity-aware CARA travel … Read more