Data-Driven Contextual Optimization with Gaussian Mixtures: Flow-Based Generalization, Robust Models, and Multistage Extensions

Contextual optimization enhances decision quality by leveraging side information to improve predictions of uncertain parameters. However, existing approaches face significant challenges when dealing with multimodal or mixtures of distributions. The inherent complexity of such structures often precludes an explicit functional relationship between the contextual information and the uncertain parameters, limiting the direct applicability of parametric … Read more

Distributionally Robust Optimization with Decision-Dependent Information Discovery

We study two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with decision-dependent information discovery (DDID) wherein (a portion of) the uncertain parameters are revealed only if an (often costly) investment is made in the first stage. This class of problems finds many important applications in selection problems (e.g., in hiring, project portfolio optimization, or optimal sensor location). … Read more

Distributionally Fair Stochastic Optimization using Wasserstein Distance

A traditional stochastic program under a finite population typically seeks to optimize efficiency by maximizing the expected profits or minimizing the expected costs, subject to a set of constraints. However, implementing such optimization-based decisions can have varying impacts on individuals, and when assessed using the individuals’ utility functions, these impacts may differ substantially across demographic … Read more

Data-Driven Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming: Performance Guarantees and Regularization Schemes

We propose a data-driven extension of the stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP) algorithm for multistage stochastic linear programs under a continuous-state, non-stationary Markov data process. Unlike traditional SDDP methods—which often assume a known probability distribution, stagewise independent data process, or uncertainty restricted to the right-hand side of constraints—our approach overcomes these limitations, making it more … Read more

Robust Contextual Portfolio Optimization with Gaussian Mixture Models

We consider the portfolio optimization problem with contextual information that is available to better quantify and predict the uncertain returns of assets. Motivated by the regime modeling techniques for the finance market, we consider the setting where both the uncertain returns and the contextual information follow a Gaussian Mixture (GM) distribution. This problem is shown … Read more

Linearizing Bilinear Products of Shadow Prices and Dispatch Variables in Bilevel Problems for Optimal Power System Planning

This work presents a general method for linearizing bilinear terms in the upper level of bilevel optimization problems when the bilinear terms are products of the primal and dual variables of the lower level. Bilinear terms of this form often appear in energy market optimization models where the dual variable represents the market price of … Read more

Transmission Switching Under Wind Uncertainty Using Linear Decision Rules

Increasing penetration of wind and renewable generation poses significant challenges to the power system operations and reliability. This paper considers the real-time optimal transmission switching (OTS) problem for determining the generation dispatch and network topology that can account for uncertain energy resources. To efficiently solve the resultant two-stage stochastic program, we propose a tractable linear … Read more

Optimal Residential Battery Storage Operations Using Robust Data-driven Dynamic Programming

In this paper, we consider the problem of operating a battery storage unit in a home with a rooftop solar photovoltaic (PV) system so as to minimize expected long-run electricity costs under uncertain electricity usage, PV generation, and electricity prices. Solving this dynamic program using standard techniques is computationally burdensome, and is often complicated by … Read more

On Data-Driven Prescriptive Analytics with Side Information: A Regularized Nadaraya-Watson Approach

We consider generic stochastic optimization problems in the presence of side information which enables a more insightful decision. The side information constitutes observable exogenous covariates that alter the conditional probability distribution of the random problem parameters. A decision maker who adapts her decisions according to the observed side information solves an optimization problem where the … Read more

Improved Decision Rule Approximations for Multi-Stage Robust Optimization via Copositive Programming

We study decision rule approximations for generic multi-stage robust linear optimization problems. We consider linear decision rules for the case when the objective coefficients, the recourse matrices, and the right-hand sides are uncertain, and consider quadratic decision rules for the case when only the right-hand sides are uncertain. The resulting optimization problems are NP-hard but … Read more