Data-Driven Optimization of Reward-Risk Ratio Measures

We investigate a class of fractional distributionally robust optimization problems with uncertain probabilities. They consist in the maximization of ambiguous fractional functions representing reward-risk ratios and have a semi-infinite programming epigraphic formulation. We derive a new fully parameterized closed-form to compute a new bound on the size of the Wasserstein ambiguity ball. We design a … Read more

Worst-Case Expected Shortfall with Univariate and Bivariate Marginals

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected shortfall when the univariate marginals are known exactly and additional expert information is available in terms of bivariate … Read more

Distributionally Robust Reward-risk Ratio Programming with Wasserstein Metric

Reward-risk ratio (RR) is a very important stock market definition. In recent years, people extend RR model as distributionally robust reward-risk ratio (DRR) to capture the situation that the investor does not have complete information on the distribution of the underlying uncertainty. In this paper, we study the DRR model where the ambiguity on the … Read more

Conic Programming Reformulations of Two-Stage Distributionally Robust Linear Programs over Wasserstein Balls

Adaptive robust optimization problems are usually solved approximately by restricting the adaptive decisions to simple parametric decision rules. However, the corresponding approximation error can be substantial. In this paper we show that two-stage robust and distributionally robust linear programs can often be reformulated exactly as conic programs that scale polynomially with the problem dimensions. Specifically, … Read more

On deterministic reformulations of distributionally robust joint chance constrained optimization problems

A joint chance constrained optimization problem involves multiple uncertain constraints, i.e., constraints with stochastic parameters, that are jointly required to be satisfied with probability exceeding a prespecified threshold. In a distributionally robust joint chance constrained optimization problem (DRCCP), the joint chance constraint is required to hold for all probability distributions of the stochastic parameters from … Read more

Closed-form solutions for worst-case law invariant risk measures with application to robust portfolio optimization

Worst-case risk measures refer to the calculation of the largest value for risk measures when only partial information of the underlying distribution is available. For the popular risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), it is now known that their worst-case counterparts can be evaluated in closed form when only the first … Read more

Distributionally Robust Optimization with Infinitely Constrained Ambiguity Sets

We consider a distributionally robust optimization problem where the ambiguity set of probability distributions is characterized by a tractable conic representable support set and expectation constraints. Specifically, we propose and motivate a new class of infinitely constrained ambiguity sets in which the number of expectation constraints could potentially be infinite. We show how the infinitely … Read more

Adjustable Robust Optimization via Fourier-Motzkin Elimination

We demonstrate how adjustable robust optimization (ARO) problems with fixed recourse can be casted as static robust optimization problems via Fourier-Motzkin elimination (FME). Through the lens of FME, we characterize the structures of the optimal decision rules for a broader class of ARO problems. A scheme based on a blending of classical FME and a … Read more

Frechet inequalities via convex optimization

Quantifying the risk carried by an aggregate position $S_d\defn\sum_{i=1}^d X_i$ comprising many risk factors $X_i$ is fundamental to both insurance and financial risk management. Frechet inequalities quantify the worst-case risk carried by the aggregate position given distributional information concerning its composing factors but without assuming independence. This marginal factor modeling of the aggregate position in … Read more

Chebyshev Inequalities for Products of Random Variables

We derive sharp probability bounds on the tails of a product of symmetric non-negative random variables using only information about their first two moments. If the covariance matrix of the random variables is known exactly, these bounds can be computed numerically using semidefinite programming. If only an upper bound on the covariance matrix is available, … Read more