Bernardo K. Pagnoncelli We study chance-constrained problems in which the constraints involve the probability of a rare event. We discuss the relevance of such problems and show that the existing sampling-based algorithms cannot be applied directly in this case, since they require an impractical number of samples to yield reasonable solutions. Using a Sample Average Approximation (SAA) approach … Read more
We study the exploitation of a one species forest plantation when timber price is uncertain. The work focuses on providing optimality conditions for the optimal harvesting policy in terms of the parameters of the price process and the discount factor. We use risk averse stochastic dynamic programming and use the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) as our … Read more
In this paper we study the exploitation of a one species forest plantation when timber price is governed by a stochastic process. The work focuses on providing closed expressions for the optimal harvesting policy in terms of the parameters of the price process and the discount factor. We assume that harvest is restricted to mature … Read more
We study approximations of chance constrained problems. In particular, we consider the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) approach and discuss convergence properties of the resulting problem. A method for constructing bounds for the optimal value of the considered problem is discussed and we suggest how one should tune the underlying parameters to obtain a good approximation … Read more