Approximations to Stochastic Dynamic Programs via Information Relaxation Duality

In the analysis of complex stochastic dynamic programs, we often seek strong theoretical guarantees on the suboptimality of heuristic policies. One technique for obtaining performance bounds is perfect information analysis: this approach provides bounds on the performance of an optimal policy by considering a decision maker who has access to the outcomes of all future … Read more

Index Policies and Performance Bounds for Dynamic Selection Problems

We consider dynamic selection problems, where a decision maker repeatedly selects a set of items from a larger collection of available items. A classic example is the dynamic assortment problem with demand learning, where a retailer chooses items to offer for sale subject to a display space constraint. The retailer may adjust the assortment over … Read more

Information Relaxation Bounds for Infinite Horizon Markov Decision Processes

We consider the information relaxation approach for calculating performance bounds for stochastic dynamic programs (DPs), following Brown, Smith, and Sun (2010). This approach generates performance bounds by solving problems with relaxed nonanticipativity constraints and a penalty that punishes violations of these constraints. In this paper, we study infinite horizon DPs with discounted costs and consider … Read more

Information Relaxations, Duality, and Convex Dynamic Programs

We consider the information relaxation approach for calculating performance bounds for stochastic dynamic programs (DPs), following Brown, Smith, and Sun (2010). This approach generates performance bounds by solving problems with relaxed nonanticipativity constraints and a penalty that punishes violations of these nonanticipativity constraints. In this paper, we study DPs that have a convex structure and … Read more

Dynamic Portfolio Optimization with Transaction Costs: Heuristics and Dual Bounds

We consider the problem of dynamic portfolio optimization in a discrete-time, finite-horizon setting. Our general model considers risk aversion, portfolio constraints (e.g., no short positions), return predictability, and transaction costs. This problem is naturally formulated as a stochastic dynamic program. Unfortunately, with non-zero transaction costs, the dimension of the state space is at least as … Read more

Information Relaxations and Duality in Stochastic Dynamic Programs

We describe a dual approach to stochastic dynamic programming: we relax the constraint that the chosen policy must be temporally feasible and impose a penalty that punishes violations of temporal feasibility. We describe the theory underlying this dual approach and demonstrate its use in dynamic programming models related to inventory control, option pricing, and oil … Read more

Satisficing measures for analysis of risky positions

In this work we introduce a class of measures for evaluating the quality of financial positions based on their ability to achieve desired financial goals. In the spirit of Simon (1959), we call these measures satisficing measures and show that they are dual to classes of risk measures. This approach has the advantage that aspiration … Read more