We study a maritime fleet renewal and deployment problem under demand and charter cost uncertainty. A decision-maker for an industrial bulk shipping company must determine a suitable fleet size, mix, and deployment strategy to satisfy stochastic demand over a given planning horizon. She may acquire vessels in two ways: time chartering and voyage chartering. Time … Read more
We formulate a risk-averse multi-stage stochastic program using conditional value at risk as the risk measure. The underlying random process is assumed to be stage-wise independent, and a stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP) algorithm is applied. We discuss the poor performance of the standard upper bound estimator in the risk-averse setting and propose a new … Read more
This paper addresses a general class of capacity planning problems under uncertainty, which arises, for example, in semiconductor tool purchase planning. Using a scenario tree to model the evolution of the uncertainties, we develop a multi-stage stochastic integer programming formulation for the problem. In contrast to earlier two-stage approaches, the multi-stage model allows for revision … Read more
The main focus of this paper is discussion of complexity of stochastic programming problems. We argue that two-stage (linear) stochastic programming problems with recourse can be solved with a reasonable accuracy by using Monte Carlo sampling techniques, while multi-stage stochastic programs, in general, are intractable. We also discuss complexity of chance constrained problems and multi-stage … Read more