Decomposability and time consistency of risk averse multistage programs

Two approaches to time consistency of risk averse multistage stochastic problems were dis- cussed in the recent literature. In one approach certain properties of the corresponding risk measure are postulated which imply its decomposability. The other approach deals directly with conditional optimality of solutions of the considered problem. The aim of this paper is to … Read more

Pricing wind: a revenue adequate, cost recovering uniform auction for electricity markets with intermittent generation

With greater penetration of renewable generation, the uncertainty faced in electricity markets has increased substantially. Conventionally, generators are assigned a pre-dispatch quantity in advance of real time, based on estimates of uncertain quantities. Expensive real time adjustments then need to be made to ensure demand is met, as uncertainty takes on a realization. We propose … Read more

Path Constraints in Tychastic and Unscented Optimal Control: Theory, Applications and Experimental Results

In recent papers, we have shown that a Lebesgue-Stieltjes optimal control theory forms the foundations for unscented optimal control. In this paper, we further our results by incorporating uncertain mixed state-control constraints in the problem formulation. We show that the integrated Hamiltonian minimization condition resembles a semi-infinite type mathematical programming problem. The resulting computational difficulties … Read more

SCORE Allocations for Bi-objective Ranking and Selection

The bi-objective R&S problem is a special case of the multi-objective simulation optimization problem in which two conflicting objectives are known only through dependent Monte Carlo estimators, the decision space or number of systems is finite, and each system can be sampled to some extent. The solution to the bi-objective R&S problem is a set … Read more

A CVaR Scenario-based Framework: Minimizing Downside Risk of Multi-asset Class Portfolios

Multi-asset class (MAC) portfolios can be comprised of investments in equities, fixed-income, commodities, foreign-exchange, credit, derivatives, and alternatives such as real-estate and private equity. The return for such {\em non-linear} portfolios is {\em asymmetric} with significant tail risk. The traditional Markowitz Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO) framework, that linearizes all the assets in the portfolio and uses … Read more

Distributionally Robust Optimization with Principal Component Analysis

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is widely used, because it offers a way to overcome the conservativeness of robust optimization without requiring the specificity of stochastic optimization. On the computational side, many practical DRO instances can be equivalently (or approximately) formulated as semidefinite programming (SDP) problems via conic duality of the moment problem. However, despite being … Read more

Exact Algorithms for the Chance-Constrained Vehicle Routing Problem

We study the chance-constrained vehicle routing problem (CCVRP), a version of the vehicle routing problem (VRP) with stochastic demands, where a limit is imposed on the probability that each vehicle’s capacity is exceeded. A distinguishing feature of our proposed methodologies is that they allow correlation between random demands, whereas nearly all existing exact methods for … Read more

Stochastic Dual Dynamic Integer Programming

Multistage stochastic integer programming (MSIP) combines the difficulty of uncertainty, dynamics, and non-convexity, and constitutes a class of extremely challenging problems. A common formulation for these problems is a dynamic programming formulation involving nested cost-to-go functions. In the linear setting, the cost-to-go functions are convex polyhedral, and decomposition algorithms, such as nested Benders’ decomposition and … Read more

MIDAS: A Mixed Integer Dynamic Approximation Scheme

Mixed Integer Dynamic Approximation Scheme (MIDAS) is a new sampling-based algorithm for solving finite-horizon stochastic dynamic programs with monotonic Bellman functions. MIDAS approximates these value functions using step functions, leading to stage problems that are mixed integer programs. We provide a general description of MIDAS, and prove its almost-sure convergence to an epsilon-optimal policy when … Read more

Scenario Tree Reduction Methods Through Changing Node Values

To develop practical and efficient scenario tree reduction methods, we introduce a new methodology which allows for changing node values, and an easy-to-calculate distance function to measure the difference between two scenario trees. Based on minimizing the new distance, we first construct a primitive scenario tree reduction model which also minimizes the Wasserstein distance between … Read more