In the analysis of complex stochastic dynamic programs, we often seek strong theoretical guarantees on the suboptimality of heuristic policies. One technique for obtaining performance bounds is perfect information analysis: this approach provides bounds on the performance of an optimal policy by considering a decision maker who has access to the outcomes of all future … Read more
We consider a multi-objective risk-averse two-stage stochastic programming problem with a multivariate convex risk measure. We suggest a convex vector optimization formulation with set-valued constraints and propose an extended version of Benson’s algorithm to solve this problem. Using Lagrangian duality, we develop scenario-wise decomposition methods to solve the two scalarization problems appearing in Benson’s algorithm. … Read more
Uses of drones and unmanned vehicles (UAVs) in ground or aerial are increasing in both civil and military applications. This paper develops a two-stage stochastic optimization model with a recourse for a multiple drone-routing problem with fuel constraints under uncertainty for the travel between any pair of targets/refueling-sites/depot. We are given a set of n … Read more
We introduce DASC, a decomposition method akin to Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) which solves some multistage stochastic optimization problems having strongly convex cost functions. Similarly to SDDP, DASC approximates cost-to-go functions by a maximum of lower bounding functions called cuts. However, contrary to SDDP, the cuts computed with DASC are quadratic functions. We also … Read more
We study a class of stochastic programs where some of the elements in the objective function are random, and their probability distribution has unknown parameters. The goal is to find a good estimate for the optimal solution of the stochastic program using data sampled from the distribution of the random elements. We investigate two common … Read more
In this paper, we propose a stochastic optimization method that adaptively controls the sample size used in the computation of gradient approximations. Unlike other variance reduction techniques that either require additional storage or the regular computation of full gradients, the proposed method reduces variance by increasing the sample size as needed. The decision to increase … Read more
The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce training data, overfitting is typically mitigated by adding regularization terms to the objective that penalize hypothesis complexity. In this paper … Read more
Resource allocation models in contingency planning aim to mitigate unexpected failures in supply chains due to disruptions with rare occurrence but disastrous consequences. This paper formulates this problems as a two-stage stochastic optimization with a risk-averse recourse function, and proposes a novel computationally tractable solution approach. The method relies on an inexact bundle method and … Read more
Multi-stage stochastic optimization is a well-known quantitative tool for decision-making under uncertainty, which applications include financial and investment planning, inventory control, energy production and trading, electricity generation planning, supply chain management and similar fields. Theoretical solution of multi-stage stochastic programs can be found explicitly only in very exceptional cases due to the complexity of the … Read more
We study a class of quadratic stochastic programs where the distribution of random variables has unknown parameters. A traditional approach is to estimate the parameters using a maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and to use this as input in the optimization problem. For the unconstrained case, we show that an estimator that “shrinks” the MLE towards … Read more