In this paper, we present an Uzawa-based heuristic that is adapted to some type of stochastic optimal control problems. More precisely, we consider dynamical systems that can be divided into small-scale independent subsystems, though linked through a static almost sure coupling constraint at each time step. This type of problem is common in production/portfolio management … Read more
Linear stochastic programming provides a flexible toolbox for analyzing real-life decision situations, but it can become computationally cumbersome when recourse decisions are involved. The latter are usually modelled as decision rules, i.e., functions of the uncertain problem data. It has recently been argued that stochastic programs can quite generally be made tractable by restricting the … Read more
We consider risk-averse formulations of stochastic linear programs having a structure that is common in real-life applications. Specifically, the optimization problem corresponds to controlling over a certain horizon a system whose dynamics is given by a transition equation depending affinely on an interstage dependent stochastic process. We put in place a rolling-horizon time consistent policy. … Read more
We present an on-line management strategy for photovoltaic-hydrogen (PV-H2) hybrid energy systems. The strategy follows a receding-horizon principle and exploits solar radiation forecasts and statistics generated through a Gaussian process model. We demonstrate that incorporating forecast information can dramatically improve the reliability and economic performance of these promising energy production devices. Article Download View On … Read more
An Asset-Liability Management model with a novel strategy for controlling risk of underfunding is presented in this paper. The basic model involves multiperiod decisions (portfolio rebalancing) and deals with the usual uncertainty of investment returns and future liabilities. Therefore it is well-suited to a stochastic programming approach. A stochastic dominance concept is applied to measure … Read more
In this paper we discuss time consistency of multi-stage risk averse stochastic programming problems. We approach the concept of time consistency from an optimization point of view. That is, at each state of the system optimality of a decision policy should not involve states which cannot happen in the future. We also discuss a relation … Read more
We present a framework for ensuring convergence of sample average approximations to stochastic optimization problems that include expectation constraints in addition to per-scenario constraints. Citation Preprint ANL/MCS 1562-1108 Article Download View Convergence of stochastic average approximation for stochastic optimization problems with mixed expectation and per-scenario constraints
The mid-term operation planning of hydro-thermal power systems needs a large number of synthetic sequences to represent accurately stochastic streamflows. These sequences are generated by a periodic autoregressive model. If the number of synthetic sequences is too big, the optimization planning problem may be too difficult to solve. To select a small set of sequences … Read more
In many industries, investment is part of the most important planning decisions. In past decades, mathematical programming models have been widely used in capacity planning and facility location to support investment decisions. Such initial techniques evolved to the use of enterprise portfolio management, very common in the energy industry. Increasing concern on risk made of … Read more
In Brazil’s long-term energy planning, the dispatch of thermal plants usually varies along a year. Such variation is essentially due to the predominance of the hydraulic mix in the system electric energy supply. For this reason, without preventive measures, a highly irregular cash flow occurs for natural gas (NG) providers, who supply gas for electric … Read more