Games with distributionally robust joint chance constraints

This paper studies an n-player non-cooperative game with strategy sets defined by stochastic linear constraints. The stochastic constraints of each player are jointly satisfied with a probability exceeding a given threshold. We consider the case where the row vectors defining the constraints are independent random vectors whose probability distributions are not completely known and belong … Read more

Data-Driven Two-Stage Conic Optimization with Zero-One Uncertainties

We address high-dimensional zero-one random parameters in two-stage convex conic optimization problems. Such parameters typically represent failures of network elements and constitute rare, high-impact random events in several applications. Given a sparse training dataset of the parameters, we motivate and study a distributionally robust formulation of the problem using a Wasserstein ambiguity set centered at … Read more

Joint Pricing and Production: A Fusion of Machine Learning and Robust Optimization

We integrate machine learning with distributionally robust optimization to address a two-period problem for the joint pricing and production of multiple items. First, we generalize the additive demand model to capture both cross-product and cross-period effects as well as the demand dependence across periods. Next, we apply K-means clustering to the demand residual mapping based … Read more

Distributionally Robust Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming

We consider a multi-stage stochastic linear program that lends itself to solution by stochastic dual dynamic programming (SDDP). In this context, we consider a distributionally robust variant of the model with a finite number of realizations at each stage. Distributional robustness is with respect to the probability mass function governing these realizations. We describe a … Read more

Convergence Analysis and a DC Approximation Method for Data-driven Mathematical Programs with Distributionally Robust Chance Constraints

In this paper, we consider the convergence analysis of data-driven mathematical programs with distributionally robust chance constraints (MPDRCC) under weaker conditions without continuity assumption of distributionally robust probability functions. Moreover, combining with the data-driven approximation, we propose a DC approximation method to MPDRCC without some special tractable structures. We also give the convergence analysis of … Read more

A Data-Driven Approach for a Class of Stochastic Dynamic Optimization Problems

Dynamic stochastic optimization models provide a powerful tool to represent sequential decision-making processes. Typically, these models use statistical predictive methods to capture the structure of the underlying stochastic process without taking into consideration estimation errors and model misspecification. In this context, we propose a data-driven prescriptive analytics framework aiming to integrate the machine learning and … Read more

Tractable Reformulations of Distributionally Robust Two-stage Stochastic Programs with $\infty- Distance

This paper studies a two-stage distributionally robust stochastic linear program under the type-∞ Wasserstein ball by providing sufficient conditions under which the program can be efficiently computed via a tractable convex program. By exploring the properties of binary variables, the developed reformulation techniques are extended to those with mixed binary random parameters. The main tractable … Read more

Distributionally robust chance constrained geometric optimization

This paper discusses distributionally robust geometric programs with individual and joint chance constraints. Seven groups of uncertainty sets are considered: uncertainty sets with first two order moments information, uncertainty sets constrained by the Kullback-Leibler divergence distance with a normal reference distribution or a discrete reference distribution, uncertainty sets with known first moments or known first … Read more

Tight tail probability bounds for distribution-free decision making

Chebyshev’s inequality provides an upper bound on the tail probability of a random variable based on its mean and variance. While tight, the inequality has been criticized for only being attained by pathological distributions that abuse the unboundedness of the underlying support and are not considered realistic in many applications. We provide alternative tight lower … Read more

Distributionally Robust Partially Observable Markov Decision Process with Moment-based Ambiguity

We consider a distributionally robust Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (DR-POMDP), where the distribution of the transition-observation probabilities is unknown at the beginning of each decision period, but their realizations can be inferred using side information at the end of each period after an action being taken. We build an ambiguity set of the joint … Read more