Quasi-Monte Carlo methods for two-stage stochastic mixed-integer programs

We consider randomized QMC methods for approximating the expected recourse in two-stage stochastic optimization problems containing mixed-integer decisions in the second stage. It is known that the second-stage optimal value function is piecewise linear-quadratic with possible kinks and discontinuities at the boundaries of certain convex polyhedral sets. This structure is exploited to provide conditions implying … Read more

On sample average approximation for two-stage stochastic programs without relatively complete recourse

We investigate sample average approximation (SAA) for two-stage stochastic programs without relatively complete recourse, i.e., for problems in which there are first-stage feasible solutions that are not guaranteed to have a feasible recourse action. As a feasibility measure of the SAA solution, we consider the “recourse likelihood”, which is the probability that the solution has … Read more

Sample Average Approximation for Stochastic Nonconvex Mixed Integer Nonlinear Programming via Outer Approximation

Stochastic mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) is a very challenging type of problem. Although there have been recent advances in developing decomposition algorithms to solve stochastic MINLPs, none of the existing algorithms can address stochastic MINLPs with continuous distributions. We propose a sample average approximation-based outer approximation algorithm (SAAOA) that can address nonconvex two-stage stochastic programs … Read more

Coupled Learning Enabled Stochastic Programming with Endogenous Uncertainty

Predictive analytics, empowered by machine learning, is usually followed by decision-making problems in prescriptive analytics. We extend the above sequential prediction-optimization paradigm to a coupled scheme such that the prediction model can guide the decision problem to produce coordinated decisions yielding higher levels of performance. Speci fically, for stochastic programming (SP) models with latently decision-dependent uncertainty, … Read more

Stochastic Optimization Models of Insurance Mathematics

The paper overviews stochastic optimization models of insurance mathematics and methods for their solution from the point of view of stochastic programming and stochastic optimal control methodology, with vector optimality criteria. The evolution of an insurance company’s capital is considered in discrete time. The main random variables, which influence this evolution, are levels of payments, … Read more

Stochastic DC Optimal Power Flow With Reserve Saturation

We propose an optimization framework for stochastic optimal power flow with uncertain loads and renewable generator capacity. Our model follows previous work in assuming that generator outputs respond to load imbalances according to an affine control policy, but introduces a model of saturation of generator reserves by assuming that when a generator’s target level hits … Read more

Operations Planning Experiments for Power Systems with High Renewable Resources

Driven by ambitious renewable portfolio standards, variable energy resources (such as wind and solar) are expected to impose unprecedented levels of uncertainty to power system operations. The current practice of planning operations with deterministic optimization tools may be ill-suited for a future where uncertainty is abundant. To overcome the reliability challenges associated with the large-scale … Read more

Mixed Integer Programming models for planning maintenance at offshore wind farms under uncertainty

We introduce the Stochastic Maintenance Fleet Transportation Problem for Offshore wind farms (SMFTPO), in which a maintenance provider determines an optimal, medium-term planning for maintaining multiple wind farms while controlling for uncertainty in the maintenance tasks and weather conditions. Since the maintenance provider is typically not the owner of a wind farm, it needs to … Read more

Adaptive Two-stage Stochastic Programming with an Application to Capacity Expansion Planning

Multi-stage stochastic programming is a well-established framework for sequential decision making under uncertainty by seeking policies that are fully adapted to the uncertainty. Often, e.g. due to contractual constraints, such flexible and adaptive policies are not desirable, and the decision maker may need to commit to a set of actions for a certain number of … Read more

Stochastic Lipschitz Dynamic Programming

We propose a new algorithm for solving multistage stochastic mixed integer linear programming (MILP) problems with complete continuous recourse. In a similar way to cutting plane methods, we construct nonlinear Lipschitz cuts to build lower approximations for the non-convex cost to go functions. An example of such a class of cuts are those derived using … Read more