Toll Setting with Robust Wardrop Equilibrium Conditions Under Budgeted Uncertainty

We consider two variants of the toll-setting problem in which a traffic authority uses tolls either to maximize revenue or to alleviate bottlenecks in the traffic network. The users of the network are assumed to act according to Wardrop’s user equilibrium so that the overall toll-setting problems are modeled as mathematical problems with equilibrium constraints. … Read more

k-Submodular Interdiction Problems under Distributional Risk-Receptiveness and Robustness: Application to Machine Learning

We study submodular optimization in adversarial context, applicable to machine learning problems such as feature selection using data susceptible to uncertainties and attacks. We focus on Stackelberg games between an attacker (or interdictor) and a defender where the attacker aims to minimize the defender’s objective of maximizing a $k$-submodular function. We allow uncertainties arising from … Read more

Robustness Analysis for Adaptive Optimization With Application to Industrial Decarbonization in the Netherlands

Robustness analysis assesses the performance of a particular solution under variation in the input data. This is distinct from sensitivity analysis, which assesses how variation in the input data changes a model’s optimal solution. For risk assessment purposes, robustness analysis has more practical value than sensitivity analysis. This is because sensitivity analysis, when applied to … Read more

A Geometric Unification of Distributionally Robust Covariance Estimators: Shrinking the Spectrum by Inflating the Ambiguity Set

The state-of-the-art methods for estimating high-dimensional covariance matrices all shrink the eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix towards a data-insensitive shrinkage target. The underlying shrinkage transformation is either chosen heuristically – without compelling theoretical justification – or optimally in view of restrictive distributional assumptions. In this paper, we propose a principled approach to construct covariance … Read more

A Clustering-based uncertainty set for Robust Optimization

Robust optimization is an approach for handling uncertainty in optimization problems, in which the uncertainty set determines the conservativeness of the solutions. In this paper, we propose a data-driven uncertainty set using a type of volume-based clustering, which we call Minimum-Volume Norm-Based Clustering (MVNBC). MVNBC extends the concept of minimum-volume ellipsoid clustering by allowing clusters … Read more

Heuristic Methods for Γ-Robust Mixed-Integer Linear Bilevel Problems

Due to their nested structure, bilevel problems are intrinsically hard to solve–even if all variables are continuous and all parameters of the problem are exactly known. In this paper, we study mixed-integer linear bilevel problems with lower-level objective uncertainty, which we address using the notion of Γ-robustness. To tackle the Γ-robust counterpart of the bilevel … Read more

A Max-Min-Max Algorithm for Large-Scale Robust Optimization

Robust optimization (RO) is a powerful paradigm for decision making under uncertainty. Existing algorithms for solving RO, including the reformulation approach and the cutting-plane method, do not scale well, hindering the application of RO to large-scale decision problems. In this paper, we devise a first-order algorithm for solving RO based on a novel max-min-max perspective. … Read more

An MILP-Based Solution Scheme for Factored and Robust Factored Markov Decision Processes

Factored Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a prominent paradigm within the artificial intelligence community for modeling and solving large-scale MDPs whose rewards and dynamics decompose into smaller, loosely interacting components. Through the use of dynamic Bayesian networks and context-specific independence, factored MDPs can achieve an exponential reduction in the state space of an MDP and … Read more

Robust Drone Delivery with Weather Information

Problem definition: Drone delivery has recently garnered significant attention due to its potential for faster delivery at a lower cost than other delivery options. When scheduling drones from a depot for delivery to various destinations, the dispatcher must take into account the uncertain wind conditions, which affect the delivery times of drones to their destinations, … Read more

Distributionally Robust Optimization with Decision-Dependent Information Discovery

We study two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems with decision-dependent information discovery (DDID) wherein (a portion of) the uncertain parameters are revealed only if an (often costly) investment is made in the first stage. This class of problems finds many important applications in selection problems (e.g., in hiring, project portfolio optimization, or optimal sensor location). … Read more