Multi-stage stochastic programming is notoriously hard, since solution methods suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Recently, stochastic dual dynamic programming has shown promising results for Markovian problems with many stages and a moderately large state space. In order to numerically solve these problems simple discrete representations of Markov processes are required but a convincing theoretical … Read more
Stochastic Dual Dynamic Programming (SDDP) is a widely used and fundamental algorithm for solving multistage stochastic optimization problems. Although SDDP has been frequently applied to solve risk-averse models with the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), it is known that the estimation of upper bounds is a methodological challenge, and many methods are computationally intensive. In practice, this … Read more
For multistage stochastic programming problems with stagewise independent uncertainty, dynamic programming algorithms calculate polyhedral approximations for the value functions at each stage. The SDDP algorithm provides piecewise linear lower bounds, in the spirit of the L-shaped algorithm, and corresponding upper bounds took a longer time to appear. One strategy uses the primal dynamic programming recursion … Read more
This paper studies the generalizations of multistage stochastic mixed-integer programs (MSIPs) with distributional ambiguity, namely distributionally risk-receptive and risk-averse multistage stochastic mixed-integer programs (denoted by DRR- and DRA-MSIPs). These modeling frameworks have applications in non-cooperative Stackelberg games involving two players, namely a leader and a follower, with uncertainty in the impact of the decisions made … Read more
\(\) We consider robust submodular maximization problems (RSMs), where given a set of \(m\) monotone submodular objective functions, the robustness is with respect to the worst-case (scaled) objective function. The model we consider generalizes two variants of robust submodular maximization problems in the literature, depending on the choice of the scaling vector. On one hand, by … Read more
We develop a principled approach to end-to-end learning in stochastic optimization. First, we show that the standard end-to-end learning algorithm admits a Bayesian interpretation and trains a posterior Bayes action map. Building on the insights of this analysis, we then propose new end-to-end learning algorithms for training decision maps that output solutions of empirical risk … Read more
We explore Maximum a Posteriori inference of Bayesian Hierarchical Models (BHMs) with intractable normalizers, which are increasingly prevalent in contemporary applications and pose computational challenges when combined with nonconvexity and nondifferentiability. To address these, we propose the Adaptive Importance Sampling-based Surrogation method, which efficiently handles nonconvexity and nondifferentiability while improving the sampling approximation of the … Read more
Sampling-based algorithms provide a practical approach to solving large-scale multistage stochastic programs. This chapter presents two alternative approaches to incorporating sampling within multistage stochastic linear programming algorithms. In the first approach, sampling is used to construct a sample average approximation (SAA) of the true multistage program. Subsequently, an optimization step is undertaken using deterministic decomposition … Read more
We study multistage stochastic optimization problems using sample average approximation (SAA) and model predictive control (MPC) as solution approaches. MPC is frequently employed when the size of the problem renders stochastic dynamic programming intractable, but it is unclear how this choice affects out-of-sample performance. To compare SAA and MPC out-of-sample, we formulate and solve an … Read more
The complementarity between renewable generation profiles has been widely explored in the literature. Notwithstanding, the regulatory and economic frameworks for hybrid power plants add interesting challenges and opportunities for investors, regulators, and planners. Focusing on the Brazilian power market, this paper proposes a unified and isonomic firm energy certificate (FEC) calculation for non-controllable renewable generators, … Read more