Robust Epidemiological Prediction and Optimization

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought many countries to their knees, and the urgency to return to normalcy has never been greater. Epidemiological models, such as the SEIR compartmental model, are indispensable tools for, among other things, predicting how pandemic may spread over time and how vaccinations and different public health interventions could affect the outcome. … Read more

RSOME in Python: An Open-Source Package for Robust Stochastic Optimization Made Easy

We develop a Python package called RSOME for modeling a wide spectrum of robust and distributionally robust optimization problems. RSOME serves as a modeling platform for formulating various optimization problems subject to distributional ambiguity in a highly readable and mathematically intuitive manner. Compared with the MATLAB version, RSOME in Python is more versatile and well … Read more

Distributionally Robust Optimization with Markovian Data

We study a stochastic program where the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is unknown and only indirectly observed via finitely many correlated samples generated by an unknown Markov chain with d states. We propose a data-driven distributionally robust optimization model to estimate the problem’s objective function and optimal solution. By leveraging results from … Read more

New complexity results and algorithms for min-max-min robust combinatorial optimization

In this work we investigate the min-max-min robust optimization problem applied to combinatorial problems with uncertain cost-vectors which are contained in a convex uncertainty set. The idea of the approach is to calculate a set of k feasible solutions which are worst-case optimal if in each possible scenario the best of the k solutions would … Read more

Robust Generalization despite Distribution Shift via Minimum Discriminating Information

Training models that perform well under distribution shifts is a central challenge in machine learning. In this paper, we introduce a modeling framework where, in addition to training data, we have partial structural knowledge of the shifted test distribution. We employ the principle of minimum discriminating information to embed the available prior knowledge, and use … Read more

Sequential Domain Adaptation by Synthesizing Distributionally Robust Experts

Least squares estimators, when trained on a few target domain samples, may predict poorly. Supervised domain adaptation aims to improve the predictive accuracy by exploiting additional labeled training samples from a source distribution that is close to the target distribution. Given available data, we investigate novel strategies to synthesize a family of least squares estimator … Read more

A Generic Optimization Framework for Resilient Systems

This paper addresses the optimal design of resilient systems, in which components can fail. The system can react to failures and its behavior is described by general mixed integer nonlinear programs, which allows for applications to many (technical) systems. This then leads to a three-level optimization problem. The upper level designs the system minimizing a … Read more

On the Optimality of Affine Decision Rules in Robust and Distributionally Robust Optimization

We propose tight conditions under which two-stage robust and distributionally robust optimization problems are optimally solved in affine decision rules. Contrary to previous work, our conditions do not impose any structure on the support of the uncertain problem parameters, and they ensure point-wise (as opposed to worst-case) optimality of affine decision rules. The absence of … Read more

Two-Stage Robust Telemedicine Assignment Problem with Uncertain Service Duration and No-Show Behaviours

The current pandemic of COVID-19 has caused significant strain on medical center resources, which are the main places to provide the rapid response to COVID-19 through the adoption of telemedicine. Thus healthcare managers must make an effective assignment plan for the patients and telemedical doctors when providing telemedicine services. Motivated by this, we present the … Read more

Distributionally Robust Optimal Control and MDP Modeling

In this paper, we discuss Optimal Control and Markov Decision Process (MDP) formulations of multistage optimization problems when the involved probability distributions are not known exactly, but rather are assumed to belong to specified ambiguity families. The aim of this paper is to clarify a connection between such distributionally robust approaches to multistage stochastic optimization. … Read more