Global Multi-Objective Simulation Optimization: Error Bounds and Convergence Rates

Consider the context of solving a multi-objective simulation optimization problem with one or more continuous objective functions to global optimality on a compact feasible set. For a simple algorithm that consists of selecting a finite set of feasible points using a space-filling design, expending the same number of simulation replications at each point to estimate … Read more

Combining Simulation with Machine Learning and Optimization to Assess Green Hydrogen Production via Offshore Wind in the Dutch North Sea

As countries seek to decarbonize their energy systems, green hydrogen has emerged as a promising energy carrier. This paper studies the production of green hydrogen from offshore wind in the Dutch North Sea, with particular emphasis on understanding how system design decisions and uncertain parameters affect key performance indicators. The analysis builds on a detailed … Read more

A Framework for Explainable Knowledge Generation with Expensive Sample Evaluations

Real world problems often require complex modeling and computation efforts to be effectively addressed. Relying solely on data-driven approaches without integrating physics-based models can result in limited predictive capabilities. Even advanced techniques such as deep learning may be impractical for decision-makers due to the lack of data and challenges in justifying and explaining results. In … Read more

An Interior-Point Algorithm for Continuous Nonlinearly Constrained Optimization with Noisy Function and Derivative Evaluations

An algorithm based on the interior-point methodology for solving continuous nonlinearly constrained optimization problems is proposed, analyzed, and tested. The distinguishing feature of the algorithm is that it presumes that only noisy values of the objective and constraint functions and their first-order derivatives are available. The algorithm is based on a combination of a previously … Read more

Black-box optimization for the design of a jet plate for impingement cooling

In this work, we propose a novel black-box formulation of the impingement cooling system for a nozzle in a gas turbine. Leveraging on a well-known model that correlates the design features of the cooling system with the efficiency parameters, we develop NOZZLE, a new constrained black-box optimization formulation for the jet impingement cooling design. Then … Read more

Inter-DS: A cost saving algorithm for expensive constrained multi-fidelity blackbox optimization

This work introduces a novel blackbox optimization algorithm for computationally expensive constrained multi-fidelity problems. When applying a direct search method to such problems, the scarcity of feasible points may lead to numerous costly evaluations spent on infeasible points. Our proposed fidelity and interruption controlled optimization algorithm addresses this issue by leveraging multi-fidelity information, allowing for … Read more

Sensitivity-based decision support for critical measures using the example of COVID-19 dynamics

We parametrize public policies in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic to evaluate the effectiveness of policies through sensitivity-based methods in order to offer insights into understanding the contributions to critical measures in retrospective. The study utilizes a group-specific SEIR model with a tracing and isolation strategy and vaccination programs. Public policies are applied to … Read more

Application of a Gas Market Model with Linear Programming. The Influence of the Dollar Exchange Rate on the Wholesale Price of Natural Gas in Northwest Europe until 2040

The price of natural gas at wholesale markets in Northwest Europe is influenced by numerous parameters. The USD to EUR exchange rate is one of these parameters. Using the LP-based gas market model WEGA, this paper will examine the impact of USD exchange rates on wholesale natural gas prices in Northwest Europe from 2025 to … Read more

Decision Intelligence for Nationwide Ventilator Allocation

Many states in the U.S. have faced shortages of medical resources because of the surge in the number of patients suffering from COVID-19. As many projections indicate, the situation will be far worse in coming months. The upcoming challenge is not only due to the exponential growth in cases but also because of inherent uncertainty … Read more