Online Non-parametric Estimation for Nonconvex Stochastic Programming

This paper presents a fusion of Stochastic Decomposition and the Majorization-Minimization algorithm (SD-MM) to solve a class of non-convex stochastic programs. The objective function is an expectation of a smooth concave function and a second-stage linear recourse function, which is common in stochastic programming (SP). This extension not only allows new stochastic difference-of-convex (dc) functions … Read more

Capacity planning with uncertain endogenous technology learning

Optimal capacity expansion requires complex decision-making, often influenced by technology learning, which represents the reduction in expansion cost due to factors such as cumulative installed capacity. However, having perfect foresight over the technology cost reduction is highly unlikely. In this work, we develop a multistage stochastic programming framework to model capacity planning problems with endogenous … Read more

Duality in convex stochastic optimization

This paper studies duality and optimality conditions in general convex stochastic optimization problems introduced by Rockafellar and Wets in \cite{rw76}. We derive an explicit dual problem in terms of two dual variables, one of which is the shadow price of information while the other one gives the marginal cost of a perturbation much like in … Read more

Dynamic programming in convex stochastic optimization

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle for general convex stochastic optimization problems introduced by Rockafellar and Wets in the 1970s. We extend the applicability of the theory by relaxing compactness and boundedness assumptions. In the context of financial mathematics, the relaxed assumptions are satisfied under the well-known no-arbitrage condition and the reasonable asymptotic elasticity … Read more

A Decomposition Algorithm for Two-Stage Stochastic Programs with Nonconvex Recourse

In this paper, we have studied a decomposition method for solving a class of nonconvex two-stage stochastic programs, where both the objective and constraints of the second-stage problem are nonlinearly parameterized by the first-stage variable. Due to the failure of the Clarke regularity of the resulting nonconvex recourse function, classical decomposition approaches such as Benders … Read more

Operation of an ambulance fleet under uncertainty

We introduce two new optimization models for the dispatch of ambulances. These models are to our knowledge the first providing a full modelling of the operation of an ambulance fleet, taking into account all or almost all constraints of the problem. The first model, called the ambulance selection problem, is used when an emergency call … Read more

Modeling uncertainty processes for multi-stage optimization of strategic energy planning: An auto-regressive and Markov chain formulation

This paper deals with the modeling of stochastic processes in long-term multistage energy planning problems when little information is available on the degree of uncertainty of such processes. Starting from simple estimates of variation intervals for uncertain parameters, such as energy demands and costs, we model the temporal correlation of these parameters through autoregressive (AR) … Read more

Intraday Power Trading: Towards an Arms Race in Weather Forecasting?

We propose the first weather-based algorithmic trading strategy on a continuous intraday power market. The strategy uses neither production assets nor power demand and generates profits purely based on superior information about aggregate output of weather-dependent renewable production. We use an optimized parametric policy based on state-of-the-art intraday updates of renewable production forecasts and evaluate … Read more

Exact Solutions to a Carsharing Pricing and Relocation Problem under Uncertainty

In this article we study the problem of jointly deciding carsharing prices and vehicle relocations. We consider carsharing services operating in the context of multi-modal urban transportation systems. Pricing decisions take into account the availability of alternative transport modes, and customer preferences with respect to these. In order to account for the inherent uncertainty in … Read more

Non-anticipative risk-averse analysis with effective scenarios applied to long-term hydrothermal scheduling

In this paper, we deal with long-term operation planning problems of hydrothermal power systems by considering scenario analysis and risk aversion. This is a stochastic sequential decision problem whose solution must be non-anticipative, in the sense that a decision at a stage cannot use a perfect knowledge of the future. We propose strategies to reduce … Read more